4 Comments

Daniel, you hit on the head for me.

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Mar 27Liked by Cardinal70

Honestly, my (limited) optimism from a month ago has almost entirely disappeared. Has Goldie ever had such a poor spring training? And Arenado wasn't exactly lighting it up. What if those two are just, you know, past their best? And once Gray is out of the rotation, it looks just mediocre.

Maybe, if all the stars align, this could be an 85 win team, but both my heart and head reckon that another losing season is more likely. Which sucks.

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Hah. I see Baseball Reference has us more likely to lose 100 than to have a winning season. Sheesh.

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author

To be fair, apparently B-R is simulating based on the last X number of games. So there's probably a large correction coming as it is heavily using the end of last season in its projections.

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